Predicting the 2024 Tony Award Winners and Nominees

As the buzz around the 2023-24 Broadway season reaches its peak, the theatre world eagerly awaits the Tony Award nominations, set to be announced next Tuesday. Here’s a look at my predictions for the nominees across key categories and my picks for the potential winners.

Best Musical Nominees: The Outsiders, Water for Elephants, Suffs, Hell’s Kitchen, The Notebook

• Expect heavyweights like The Outsiders, Water for Elephants, Suffs, and Hell’s Kitchen to dominate the nominations. Of these, The Outsiders could very well snatch the trophy with its compelling narrative and innovative staging. The Notebook stands a good chance as a dark horse if it secures a nomination.

Best Revival of a Musical Nominees: Cabaret, Merrily We Roll Along, The Who’s Tommy, The Wiz

• Cabaret and Merrily We Roll Along might see a tight race, but Merrily We Roll Along is likely to edge out its competition thanks to its beloved score and a well-received new production.

Best Revival of a Play Nominees: Appropriate, An Enemy of the People, Uncle Vanya

• Appropriate by Branden Jacobs-Jenkins, currently a hit at the Belasco Theatre, stands out in this category. Its fresh take on classic themes makes it a strong contender for the win, outpacing other probable nominees.

Best Play Nominees: Mary Jane, Mother Play, Prayer for the French Republic, Stereophonic

• Mary Jane, Mother Play, Prayer for the French Republic, and Stereophonic seem poised for nominations, with Stereophonic likely taking home the award due to its unique storytelling and powerful performances.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play Nominees: Michael Stuhlbarg, Will Keen, Jeremy Strong, Liev Schreiber

• This category could go to Michael Stuhlbarg for his riveting portrayal in Patriots, with his co-star Will Keen also a strong contender.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical Nominees: Ali Louis Bourzgui, Jeremy Jordan, Jonathan Groff, Brian d’Arcy James, Chip Zien

• Jonathan Groff in Merrily We Roll Along might honor for his dynamic and emotional depth.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play Nominees: Sarah Paulson, Jessica Lange, Rachel McAdams

• Sarah Paulson is anticipated to win for her compelling performance in Appropriate.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical Nominees: Maryann Plunkett, Kelli O’Hara, Eden Espinosa, Maleah Joi Moon

• Eden Espinosa is likely to triumph for her role in Lempicka, in a fierce competition with Maryann Plunkett.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play Nominees: Juliana Canfield, Sarah Pidgeon, Quincy Tyler Bernstine, Francis Benhamou, Kara Young

• Juliana Canfield from Stereophonic could win due to her nuanced performance.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play Nominees: Will Brill, Tom Pecinka, Eli Gelb, Michael Imperioli, Corey Stoll, William Jackson Harper

• William Jackson Harper for his standout performance in Uncle Vanya may win this category.

Best Original Score Nominees: The Outsiders, Suffs, Days of Wine and Roses, Water for Elephants, Stereophonic

• Suffs by Shaina Taub could emerge victorious for its innovative and resonant musical storytelling.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical Nominees: Lindsay Mendez, Kecia Lewis, Amber Iman, Joy Woods, Bebe Neuwirth

• Lindsay Mendez for Merrily We Roll Along might clinch this category again.

Best Book of a Musical Nominees: Kristoffer Diaz, Bekah Brunstetter, Shaina Taub, Rick Elice, Justin Levine and Adam Rapp

• The nod might go to Shaina Taub for Suffs, thanks to its compelling narrative and strong book.

Best Choreography Nominees: Camille A Brown, Justin Peck, Rick and Jeff Kuperman, Jesse Robb and Shana Carroll, Katie Spelman

• Justin Peck for Illinoise could be the winner with his visually stunning dance sequences, celebrating an outstanding season on Broadway.

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